South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947c48c7f529dacc7e657c2f7824667227fdc14fcbe01f23f3e68777e86a3770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,411 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.92 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 54c | 1,017$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 692.4$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 48c | 524.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 449.56$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 440$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 24c | 425$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 294$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…8c0abacked Yes | 51c | 187.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…ed2fbacked Yes | 51c | 185.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…2ac7backed Yes | 51c | 185.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…52cdbacked No | 49c | 184$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…cc95backed Yes | 51c | 183.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…8381backed No | 49c | 183$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3490…d0dbbacked No | 49c | 182$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…3f8bbacked No | 49c | 181$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…c437backed Yes | 51c | 180.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…ba17backed No | 49c | 178$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0a…0dd9backed Yes | 51c | 177.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…804dbacked No | 49c | 177$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…e846backed Yes | 51c | 176.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…8ebfbacked No | 49c | 173.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…7413backed No | 49c | 173$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…b760backed Yes | 51c | 170.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…4c86backed Yes | 51c | 169.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…7610backed Yes | 51c | 167.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…eeb4backed No | 49c | 167$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac5…2ef7backed Yes | 51c | 166.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…c827backed No | 49c | 165$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 164.07$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb34…9843backed No | 49c | 163$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1665…36d0backed Yes | 51c | 160.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…cbfabacked Yes | 51c | 160.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a68…2ae5backed No | 49c | 157$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 61c | 155.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 39c | 154$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…7768backed No | 49c | 152$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…0e5cbacked Yes | 51c | 149.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…864dbacked Yes | 51c | 149.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…54e2backed No | 49c | 148$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…510abacked No | 49c | 148$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…c072backed No | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 145.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…c663backed No | 49c | 144$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…906abacked No | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…6bf8backed Yes | 51c | 140.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b13…85dbbacked No | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…066cbacked Yes | 51c | 137.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…7f38backed Yes | 51c | 136.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbf…e82fbacked No | 49c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…482cbacked Yes | 51c | 121.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc433…372dbacked Yes | 51c | 121.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…b900backed No | 53c | 112.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 103$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 91.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 46c | 87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 28.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…23a3backed No | 54c | 28.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.