TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No50c8,278$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,110.233,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked No46c5,412$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912.33580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+101%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes54c3,750$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0259954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No47c1,357$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.333455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c1,338$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.5391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes53c1,222$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.6238247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes54c1,217$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6522429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes53c1,037$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.382347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes35c899.97$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.991250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes55c781.07$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No47c615.38$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.5336136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes42c518.97$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.633828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes55c458.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes51c419.61$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2142343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes56c413.46$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No51c380$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes50c310$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Yes56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1447829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes50c297.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked No47c286.17$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.671060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked No50c286.15$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.677753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c278.79$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1492,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No48c261$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.432,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Yes50c260.56$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.281346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No48c246.3$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12711153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Yes21c243.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0918940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed No50c227.72$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.72875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes54c184.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.893154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes51c184.31$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.88442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c162.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1688048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes54c161.42$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.163148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes17c152.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes55c134.3$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.55221.2%11 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes53c127.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.473256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed No51c127.24$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.656056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No44c119.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.796956.5%39 W · 30 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes55c118.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes51c117.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605738.6%22 W · 35 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes56c114.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No46c114$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.591,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x432b…a6a6backed Yes55c112.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Yes48c110.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf720…66acbacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c39…9acbbacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9915459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Yes54c99.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes54c99.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.997850%39 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes34c93.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.270239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9384…8a95backed Yes46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No50c81.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.583956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+57.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No61c78.72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8438453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes15c77.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.691216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed No49c71.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.124663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes50c59.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Yes55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Yes53c53.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes53c50.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No45c49.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4913554.1%73 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Yes51c49.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.333652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes29c49.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.225248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Yes51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No46c48.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.971,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Yes53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No47c46.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.792532%8 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255066%33 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No48c42.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.238355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c42.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.431,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc98…7667backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.