Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa93172cb7e71516c44ef6153791ad6da792804db0e631e6135ddb0a8afeac4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferencvárosi TCof Ferencvárosi TC, PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x711a…9240backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 0c | 54,372$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Ferencvárosi TC | 39c | 1,783$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Ferencvárosi TC | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 60c | 1,128$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.68 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 65c | 1,008$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.32 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 23c | 961.63$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.74 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Ferencvárosi TC | 65c | 921$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +230.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 63c | 868.94$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.09 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ferencvárosi TC | 36c | 651.72$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.9 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 64c | 480$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ferencvárosi TC | 53c | 325.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.47 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…73acbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 35c | 306.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Ferencvárosi TC | 47c | 295$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Ferencvárosi TC | 37c | 260.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Ferencvárosi TC | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.06 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ferencvárosi TC | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Ferencvárosi TC | 59c | 234.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Ferencvárosi TC | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 39c | 192.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Ferencvárosi TC | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 64c | 183.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 59c | 173.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…eebfbacked PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 65c | 153.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…d2a5backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 65c | 153.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Ferencvárosi TC | 37c | 153$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 27c | 128.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Ferencvárosi TC | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…c3cbbacked PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 45c | 82.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 62c | 75.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Ferencvárosi TC | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Ferencvárosi TC | 39c | 54.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Ferencvárosi TC | 38c | 49.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ferencvárosi TC | 55c | 43.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Ferencvárosi TC | 42c | 42.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 34c | 41.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 63c | 39.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 61c | 38.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 37c | 36.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Ferencvárosi TC | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ferencvárosi TC | 42c | 25.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 65c | 20.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)this page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad won
- Spread: PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.