TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$824,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$829,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $824,472 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under47c558,742$263,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295,610.9850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over53c225,000$118,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,499.993745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Over54c163,272$87,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,878.663250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Over53c110,000$58,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,3002556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over53c60,325$31,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,972.244254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c50,000$23,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,499.9810360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over52c20,055$10,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,428.551338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over53c19,573$10,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,373.4811246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over53c14,765$7,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,874.0443344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c12,852$5,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,099.563,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c9,976$5,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,334.6138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over53c9,709$5,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,145.771947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under48c9,673$4,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,029.881963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.95580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+101%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under46c7,152$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,862.091030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under47c6,885$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.7413149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1606858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c3,955$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.6592050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over54c3,670$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over53c3,333$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.494551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over55c3,200$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.992466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18f0…c0f5backed Under46c2,565$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over77c2,500$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c2,132$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.22,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over49c1,942$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.178639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under48c1,874$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.963560%21 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under48c1,606$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over56c1,320$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.4684850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under44c1,307$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.2355545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over55c1,111$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.052867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over54c1,031$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.961833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Over56c999.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.993148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004219%8 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under45c889$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.952958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over59c842.82$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over53c834.42$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.243839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over49c710.11$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over54c699.96$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.982157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under45c666.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.851942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c599.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3245856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over45c555.78$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x558a…e9b3backed Over52c553.02$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over78c512$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over58c501.72$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2914841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c500$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c500$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.51,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over40c497.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c497$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.821,02647.4%486 W · 540 L-3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over50c495.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under53c466.57$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.297554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over46c450.37$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.692245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.781127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over56c375$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c359.94$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.163444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over60c336.67$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-65.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over64c308.03$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.122250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over58c301.72$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…f4b0backed Over11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3380%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c297.2$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.470639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under47c273.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.736056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6b…b068backed Under48c270.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over55c258.18$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21eb…e132backed Over52c252$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4614…3ed4backed Under44c246$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under55c236.43$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.437364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under46c227.34$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.177753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over55c224.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.691050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under47c224.38$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.554663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Under44c220$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+129.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc56…77cdbacked Over55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10611153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00e…c267backed Under44c190$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over58c181.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.382157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over57c174.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over74c160.26$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f7…9476backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over53c141$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7336136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over57c131.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f9e…f6c2backed Over57c121$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under42c120$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.26956.5%39 W · 30 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over68c117$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.12065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.