TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed Over54c46,902$25,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,327.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over54c45,312$24,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,619.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8002955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c18,849$8,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,242.0138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c16,614$8,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,597.813,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over53c15,569$8,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,251.461250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over54c14,531$7,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,846.645259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under46c10,870$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.562369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c10,772$4,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,816.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under46c9,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8603455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe03d…7208backed Under47c6,796$3,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,601.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c5,719$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,058.493145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c3,173$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.849954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f0…c0f5backed Under47c3,155$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under45c3,090$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.9443344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Under47c3,021$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c2,891$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.0491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.911471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.911662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.661855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+69.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0808946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over26c1,137$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.574425%11 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under47c1,070$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.144548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over54c1,040$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.62867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over54c999$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.468345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c604.6$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.792,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under48c542.19$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under49c520.78$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over54c518.52$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26516242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27018049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ce…83acbacked Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161090%9 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick46cpaid+104.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c399$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4733349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Over54c376.71$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over53c299.98$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.994131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under49c295.67$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.876056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over32c291.22$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.355540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c243.59$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7670239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under50c239.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.294136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c1…deecbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.774100%4 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+264.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Under48c209.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.941020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over54c184$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.368351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f8…0f11backed Under35c149.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over47c144.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.853633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under46c122.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.814663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under75c121.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1563857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under46c113.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over52c111.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.938442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under48c108.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2817956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x508b…2797backed Over53c105.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.931020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Under74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fe…9f73backed Under47c99.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under46c97.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.832075%15 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Over43c95.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.068239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504652.2%24 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under46c85.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.188048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1110941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under47c80.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over34c78.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.751921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under47c76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.284067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over55c68.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2126647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1479…b778backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed Under46c58.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+54.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Under46c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over43c53.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under60c53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0568…d5a7backed Over54c52.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.59450%47 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1391…9b60backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c48.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.312,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under47c45.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.242055%11 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa931…330abacked Under47c44.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under46c43.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.742060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Under47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.791241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.