Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1e9aaff04c631994c0173b3842167c97ab061bcde0969473e7af7628a81df05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Brannof Bologna FC 1909, SK Brann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked SK Brann | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +101%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed SK Brann | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 37c | 2,710$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SK Brann | 61c | 1,630$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.32 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed SK Brann | 59c | 1,163$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Bologna FC 1909 | 41c | 1,022$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.11 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed SK Brann | 61c | 999.97$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 30c | 999.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Bologna FC 1909 | 36c | 878$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.59 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SK Brann | 63c | 861.38$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.63 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 718.91$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Bologna FC 1909 | 43c | 697.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SK Brann | 59c | 564.88$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.54 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 535.63$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked SK Brann | 63c | 510.69$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Bologna FC 1909 | 36c | 352.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 37c | 317.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…4107backed Bologna FC 1909 | 37c | 294.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 32c | 178.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Bologna FC 1909 | 43c | 175.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Bologna FC 1909 | 37c | 136.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Bologna FC 1909 | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed SK Brann | 62c | 117.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed SK Brann | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…6dc2backed Bologna FC 1909 | 40c | 109$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed SK Brann | 59c | 107.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed SK Brann | 64c | 97.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Bologna FC 1909 | 37c | 79.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked SK Brann | 63c | 66.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bologna FC 1909 | 30c | 65.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a18…4b83backed Bologna FC 1909 | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed SK Brann | 63c | 55.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed SK Brann | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked SK Brann | 64c | 52.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Bologna FC 1909 | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked SK Brann | 74c | 40.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4a50backed Bologna FC 1909 | 42c | 36.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked SK Brann | 57c | 36.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Bologna FC 1909 | 45c | 34.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked SK Brann | 60c | 32.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 32.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked SK Brann | 64c | 27.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…782bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 26.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.