Europa Conference League · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeaab4b55df47584bdb4e6edebfe5c256886f3d584b7a04e948af997ac8b079c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.9 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,044$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.84 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 970.5$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.55 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 708.13$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 48c | 560$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 50c | 436.04$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 54c | 372.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 46c | 334.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 40c | 331.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 49c | 218.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Yes | 46c | 198.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 38c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 38c | 136$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 107.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…3f97backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…8ac8backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked No | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 62.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…ee30backed No | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…e6b3backed Yes | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 47.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc0…ad7dbacked No | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…a90dbacked Yes | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b9…1031backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 53c | 37.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 30.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked No | 50c | 27.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 47c | 27.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed No | 53c | 27.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Yes | 51c | 23.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3e…186fbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.