TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x219e…14d9backed Over78c2,591$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.812867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c2,106$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.313,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over55c1,808$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under22c1,151$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.5784850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under22c999.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.972958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Under76c944.43$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+66.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over62c780.95$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+69.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under22c740.32$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.4521925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01cc…7715backed Over70c698.67$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under43c580.82$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.072161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under37c484.7$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c444.27$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5763857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under23c436.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.951723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over57c417.07$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5470239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under51c399.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under21c354.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.0138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under37c333$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.792254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.155850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over49c299.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1477829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5120%0 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over48c222.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.894425%11 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8f8…0f11backed Over40c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15620056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Under65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over77c194.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504652.2%24 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under22c188.94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3755545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under76c171.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.083455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over61c157.17$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9614641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over67c150.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over72c150$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.156363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4223…542dbacked Under70c142.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c137.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.312,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under22c128.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1460…b5bbbacked Under32c128.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.13825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over41c121.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.411921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Under44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.65549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over68c110$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.82343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over59c107.17$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.39037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under49c102.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.231136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34e4…e1e1backed Under24c98.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+201.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e9…9ed3backed Over77c90$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c85.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.532,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Under23c79.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.453148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under22c76.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9888048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under23c72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.567859%46 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under22c61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5836136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over49c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.66446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under32c57.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.378733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over54c56.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over79c56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4423461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c55.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under26c55.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.047553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under39c54.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4138453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over55c52.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over78c52.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.72157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under45c52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8535944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc70…26c8backed Over78c51.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399255.4%51 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over77c49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7343344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Over38c47.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.927753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over36c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.057842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Under38c43.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.121070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Over77c40.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.254580%36 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca5…3af6backed Over64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over60c39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.478344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over55c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.252458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over80c34.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2725157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under35c32.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4518940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over47c31.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.581662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over55c31.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over38c28.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed5…869abacked Over71c28.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over60c26.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over76c26.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9937750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over79c25.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over62c24.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0680%0 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over78c23.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5417249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over58c21.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.756056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Over62c21.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.358239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over77c20.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.992035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64860.4%29 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1a…06febacked Over77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd834…cc5bbacked Over78c17.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.