TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Under58c67,770$38,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,998.620545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over42c20,930$8,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,139.141,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over44c10,732$4,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,009.825257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over42c8,888$3,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,155.2785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over43c6,617$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.692281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.26per pick55cpaid+55%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over42c6,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480.0450644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under57c5,590$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.2219253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over42c3,117$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.8219239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over42c2,228$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.1875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over42c2,200$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2671,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over44c1,816$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.9614166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over31c1,642$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.9610234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85513662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c1,239$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.061,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over43c1,089$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.412,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over42c722.04$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.861,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over42c635$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.345751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c573.61$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.086,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Over78c500$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.427082.9%58 W · 12 L+14.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+37.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over42c404.76$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7617053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under57c299.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.999749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under8c257.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.571910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5616731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over43c223.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2623435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under60c205.04$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over43c183.09$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.913152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over41c179.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1919145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over43c175.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0416357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3614551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over43c135$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over43c115$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Under59c101.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c99.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9959645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over43c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.327354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over43c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.332357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over42c88.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.191,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.178056.3%45 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over43c83.54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7923250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over78c74.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42580%20 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+43%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over44c62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7217138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.226958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.226158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.230554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.226058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.229057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.228255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.228359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4525550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under70c53.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7274156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked Under59c50.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.941643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.536259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.512951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2917255.2%95 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.59554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5e…a98cbacked Over44c45.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.652568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x084e…71d6backed Over43c45.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+72.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c40.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.524,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over42c40.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.217456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.87160.6%43 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dbf…abfabacked Over42c39.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272a…88cfbacked Under58c38.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe97e…436dbacked Over42c37.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Over42c33.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.122958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.412050%60 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…2dadbacked Over41c26.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d7…2b16backed Over41c25.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.116100%6 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+128.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2523658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2526959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2522858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over43c24.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1611761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820e…9db7backed Over41c24.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c1…ba5fbacked Over41c24.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…17c4backed Over42c24.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Over43c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over42c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9211842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Over43c23.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.675364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under58c22.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.267651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under71c22.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.875058%29 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.924379.1%34 W · 9 L+8.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+47%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.