Premier League · resolved market
Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5808ce2f27eb397b58c4f4c44c837a336947d62ade00e153756f0e016a8cbe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 52c | 5,105$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.41 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 48c | 4,903$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.06 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,891$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.13 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 760.14$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 42c | 723.7$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.03 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 52c | 180.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 49c | 117.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ca…51a5backed Yes | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 83.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 53c | 80.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 52c | 71.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 38c | 68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 52c | 57.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed No | 51c | 48.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 44.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 56c | 38.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…ae19backed Yes | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.