Premier League · resolved market
Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7023f5020c634e8a9b367b448d4af804032d2d0fb8ff115a0061b568014d8b7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 13,229$6,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,431.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 49c | 10,194$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.18 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 71c | 2,860$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.86 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 29c | 2,170$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.01 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 1,773$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.2 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 41c | 608$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.72 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 339.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 266.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 219$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 199.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 77c | 103.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under | 50c | 92.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 42c | 85.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 44c | 57.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…71d6backed Over | 50c | 50.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 27.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 40c | 26.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 67c | 18.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.