NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0c55d9136d8dfb927ff472f8e5cf0a84312dafd87e4aafce1490c6b04e8b5f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,873 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Nets | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Heat | 50c | 47,890$24,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,732.84 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Heat | 52c | 39,931$20,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,166.79 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Nets | 50c | 37,193$18,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,596.35 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nets | 48c | 24,000$11,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,519.97 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat | 52c | 23,103$11,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,116.14 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Heat | 52c | 20,473$10,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,827.23 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Heat | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 48c | 17,241$8,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,244.73 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nets | 49c | 16,360$8,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,016.4 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 49c | 13,138$6,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…ca67backed Nets | 48c | 12,908$6,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,196 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nets | 48c | 10,937$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Nets | 49c | 10,473$5,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131.73 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 48c | 9,832$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Heat | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Nets | 48c | 8,778$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,195.58 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nets | 49c | 8,688$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.23 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 51c | 8,209$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.41 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nets | 48c | 7,917$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Heat | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Heat | 52c | 5,956$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.88 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 48c | 5,191$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Nets | 48c | 4,817$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.1 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Nets | 49c | 4,063$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Heat | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Heat | 53c | 3,767$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.39 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 53c | 3,279$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.13 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 53c | 3,028$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.3 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Heat | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Heat | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Heat | 55c | 2,673$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.78 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Heat | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets | 48c | 2,483$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.9 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Heat | 51c | 2,257$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.94 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 48c | 2,077$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Heat | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.01 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Nets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Heat | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Heat | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Nets | 50c | 1,912$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Nets | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 48c | 1,878$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.51 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nets | 49c | 1,695$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Nets | 51c | 1,490$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.9 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 48c | 1,454$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Nets | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nets | 49c | 1,120$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.8 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 51c | 1,005$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Nets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Nets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Heat | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Nets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Nets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Heat | 53c | 960$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Heat | 51c | 951.22$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.41 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Nets | 48c | 947.59$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.85 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nets | 49c | 703.83$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.87 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Heat | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Heat | 52c | 584.42$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.52 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6b04backed Heat | 44c | 568.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Heat | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Heat | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Heat | 52c | 528.85$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Heat | 50c | 416.73$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Nets | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Nets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Nets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Heat | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Heat | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Heat | 53c | 380$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Heat | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nets | 49c | 317.63$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.01 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Heat | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Heat | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Nets | 50c | 287.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Heat | 52c | 264.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Heat | 53c | 259.7$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Heat | 52c | 255.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…048dbacked Heat | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Nets | 47c | 243.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Heat | 57c | 224.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Heat | 53c | 224.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Heat | 53c | 212.76$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Heat | 53c | 212.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 54c | 201.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Heat | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Heat | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Heat | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Heat | 53c | 198.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Nets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Heat | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Heat | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Heat | 52c | 191.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-7.5)Nets won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Nets vs. HeatHeat won
- Nets vs. Heat: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-13.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.