NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19a68fc8ed914fb4b33007cb2ab49ebffec3fdc6a0f405c855ebac834287e329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,576 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 47c | 22,359$10,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,604.16 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 52c | 12,403$6,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.33 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 49c | 10,918$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,568.37 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 9,407$4,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 8,131$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 51c | 6,967$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 3,855$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.17 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 52c | 2,858$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 1,789$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.48 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 1,780$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 1,754$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.79 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.88 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 1,376$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,365$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…28a6backed Over | 50c | 1,356$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.16 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…2900backed Over | 50c | 1,328$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…431dbacked Over | 50c | 1,257$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…19d8backed Under | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…c503backed Under | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97a…cc71backed Over | 50c | 1,204$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 48c | 1,195$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.62 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…e9e6backed Over | 50c | 1,184$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…80b2backed Under | 50c | 1,168$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 49c | 1,156$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.31 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ef…9684backed Under | 50c | 1,153$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 1,126$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…8a54backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…a475backed Under | 50c | 1,084$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…927cbacked Over | 50c | 1,042$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf372…489dbacked Under | 50c | 984$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 50c | 879.45$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.09 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b0edbacked Under | 46c | 827$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6696…5b57backed Over | 54c | 793$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 776.64$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1160backed Over | 54c | 743$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 729.57$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.32 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 706$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 702.72$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 693.67$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.9 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4e…961ebacked Under | 50c | 684$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 48c | 640.02$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.38 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 638.83$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.86 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 54c | 595$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.7 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…7ef3backed Under | 50c | 552$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 531.32$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904c…2398backed Under | 50c | 518$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 477.63$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.14 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 52c | 435.37$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.39 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 420.66$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…b1cebacked Over | 54c | 417$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x311d…e9febacked Over | 54c | 410$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…698bbacked Under | 46c | 404$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 402.66$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1d…e9b4backed Under | 46c | 389$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 382.47$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9229…2e77backed Under | 46c | 377$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 51c | 366$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…ac83backed Under | 46c | 366$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 54c | 324$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 51c | 303$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 50c | 283$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…e855backed Under | 29c | 279.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 260.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 47c | 260$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 47c | 219.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 52c | 218.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 53c | 200.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 5c | 199.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 48c | 196$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 50c | 182.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Under | 46c | 178.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 55c | 170.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 47c | 145.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 48c | 141$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 131.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 119.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 52c | 118.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Over | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 52c | 94.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 89.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0586…882dbacked Under | 52c | 83.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 58c | 81.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-7.5)Nets won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Nets vs. HeatHeat won
- Nets vs. Heat: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-13.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.