NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf70dd82afcc91c029cb61ed56a8fc72e821aa2e22fcfe86a335c1d8cd9caac1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,627 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Heat | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,999.99 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Nets | 52c | 38,391$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Nets | 52c | 35,000$18,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,199.97 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat | 48c | 28,904$13,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,030.07 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 52c | 20,676$10,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,781.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Heat | 48c | 14,583$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,583.33 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…80d6backed Heat | 48c | 13,571$6,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,057.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Nets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.98 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Nets | 53c | 7,530$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.96 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Nets | 52c | 7,361$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.94 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 53c | 7,300$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Heat | 48c | 6,813$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.89 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 46c | 5,801$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Nets | 54c | 5,565$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.31 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 53c | 5,480$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Heat | 48c | 5,416$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.32 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Heat | 48c | 5,316$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.1 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Heat | 49c | 5,084$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.7 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 52c | 4,615$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Heat | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…1dbcbacked Heat | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Heat | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Heat | 48c | 3,810$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.42 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Nets | 53c | 3,173$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.11 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Heat | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Nets | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nets | 53c | 2,810$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.3 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Nets | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…184dbacked Nets | 53c | 1,808$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 47c | 1,724$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 47c | 1,507$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets | 52c | 1,461$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.65 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Nets | 53c | 1,433$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.48 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nets | 54c | 1,328$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.67 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Heat | 47c | 1,312$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.42 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…19f8backed Nets | 53c | 1,195$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b0…0b70backed Heat | 47c | 1,188$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Nets | 53c | 1,056$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.56 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Heat | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Nets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Nets | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…f9d5backed Nets | 53c | 999$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 52c | 937.58$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.69 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Heat | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Heat | 48c | 754.17$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.17 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…09c5backed Nets | 53c | 638$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Heat | 37c | 599.89$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.61 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked Heat | 47c | 596.77$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…9aa8backed Nets | 53c | 550$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Heat | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada7…8dbcbacked Heat | 49c | 441.65$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Heat | 48c | 439.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Heat | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nets | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nets | 53c | 385.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Heat | 47c | 378.09$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Heat | 45c | 343.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Heat | 48c | 315$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Heat | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nets | 46c | 255.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Heat | 48c | 250.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Heat | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Heat | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Heat | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Nets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Nets | 57c | 185.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Heat | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Nets | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 47c | 138.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Heat | 54c | 136.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Heat | 47c | 130.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 56c | 129.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Nets | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Nets | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Heat | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Nets | 52c | 120.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Heat | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Heat | 48c | 113.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Heat | 49c | 106.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Heat | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Heat | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Heat | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Heat | 47c | 92.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Nets | 53c | 89.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 55c | 86.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Heat | 54c | 79.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8458…b67abacked Heat | 53c | 75.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Heat | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Heat | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Heat | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Heat | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b21…05ecbacked Heat | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Heat | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…a3bdbacked Heat | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Heat | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Heat | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Nets | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Nets | 52c | 47.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-7.5)Nets won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Nets vs. HeatHeat won
- Nets vs. Heat: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.