NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad33be1a38893fa9df26576edc6f627f3bad31b1d247ac3ca27f49c64231fea

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,099 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	53c	8,000$4,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,779.97	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	47c	5,657$2,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,638.06	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Under	48c	4,524$2,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,171.42	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	55c	3,638$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,637.58	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	53c	3,390$1,797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,593.3	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under	48c	2,712$1,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,301.87	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	52c	1,667$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.16	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over	53c	1,316$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.52	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	52c	1,037$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.73	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbb…45acbacked Under	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over	53c	906.38$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	45c	768.78$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.95	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under	53c	754.72$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	260	48.1%125 W · 135 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over	53c	754$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.38	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	48c	621.18$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.16	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	47c	618.55$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.49	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Under	47c	574.47$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	135	47.4%64 W · 71 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fa…97a9backed Under	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under	44c	225.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	47c	217$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.99	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	48c	198$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.05	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	48c	191.65$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.99	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	47c	182.75$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.75	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over	54c	174.56$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.3	377	50.4%190 W · 187 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under	46c	149.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	244	28.7%70 W · 174 L	-22.4wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under	47c	147$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.09	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	50c	140.44$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.22	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	48c	140.18$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.29	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	52c	129.82$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.31	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under	48c	128.89$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.87	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under	49c	124.59$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.05	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	47c	119.92$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.21	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	47c	111.65$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.48	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over	49c	104.2$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.14	125	52%65 W · 60 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Under	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Over	54c	80$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.8	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	54c	64.91$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.86	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Under	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	47c	55.39$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.21	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under	48c	48.41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	831	58.1%483 W · 348 L	+18.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over	56c	44.62$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.63	109	51.4%56 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc826…3c91backed Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d81…c006backed Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	123	64.2%79 W · 44 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under	51c	35.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under	46c	34.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under	47c	32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	327	47.4%155 W · 172 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	47c	32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under	47c	32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	273	45.1%123 W · 150 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under	47c	32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	329	47.4%156 W · 173 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over	55c	31.11$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under	46c	31.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5e…a98cbacked Under	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under	48c	29.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	181	43.1%78 W · 103 L	-12.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	47c	29.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.01	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over	49c	28.65$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.61	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4c…afcebacked Over	50c	25.96$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under	47c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeab…a2edbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece3…5392backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5this page
1H Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Wizards won
Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Wizards vs. PelicansPelicans won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event