NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ba55daca5bd2238cea3b3ea7eb7a00df984c87890e051f28f9911ec88068759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,399 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pelicans | 55c | 10,635$5,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.97 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wizards | 43c | 7,447$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.82 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 56c | 6,232$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.1 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 46c | 5,729$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans | 57c | 5,181$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.65 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pelicans | 52c | 4,672$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.41 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 45c | 3,019$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 45c | 2,717$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 46c | 2,588$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 44c | 2,154$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 46c | 1,953$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.39 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,919$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wizards | 56c | 1,436$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.35 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Wizards | 47c | 1,300$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.98 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,148$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.08 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Wizards | 44c | 1,120$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pelicans | 54c | 1,096$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.73 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards | 50c | 1,053$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.52 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 51c | 1,049$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.68 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,028$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 51c | 999.26$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Wizards | 58c | 869.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wizards | 53c | 801.24$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.9 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Wizards | 46c | 774.9$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.84 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 57c | 731.28$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 43c | 631$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pelicans | 57c | 556$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.08 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Wizards | 48c | 514.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Wizards | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Wizards | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Wizards | 50c | 496.91$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pelicans | 55c | 397$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.65 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Wizards | 47c | 393.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pelicans | 52c | 385.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Pelicans | 56c | 357.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards | 38c | 331$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Wizards | 43c | 329.53$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Wizards | 55c | 329$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pelicans | 46c | 311.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.41 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Wizards | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wizards | 48c | 298.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wizards | 55c | 296$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.24 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Pelicans | 55c | 258.87$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Pelicans | 57c | 240.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Wizards | 44c | 233.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards | 45c | 204.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 50c | 200.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Pelicans | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…c640backed Pelicans | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 48c | 180.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 45c | 173.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Wizards | 43c | 165$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 48c | 146.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Wizards | 44c | 140.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Wizards | 55c | 135.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Wizards | 43c | 130.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503e…adb4backed Wizards | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans | 47c | 129.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pelicans | 48c | 122.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed Pelicans | 56c | 120.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Pelicans | 56c | 113.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Wizards | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pelicans | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Wizards | 44c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Pelicans | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Wizards | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Pelicans | 52c | 90.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44e…c6b8backed Pelicans | 66c | 84.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Wizards | 43c | 82.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668a…04d1backed Wizards | 46c | 80.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Wizards | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Wizards | 44c | 75.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Wizards | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Wizards | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Wizards | 49c | 60.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Wizards | 54c | 57.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 37c | 56.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Wizards | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…fa34backed Wizards | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Wizards | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Pelicans | 58c | 51.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…a09fbacked Pelicans | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Wizards | 51c | 49.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 47c | 48.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Wizards | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Wizards | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…3a17backed Pelicans | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 48c | 41.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Pelicans | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13f…7682backed Wizards | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Wizards | 47c | 37.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Pelicans | 57c | 35.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…42eabacked Pelicans | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Wizards | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Wizards | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.