NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5dba0d4d6ce5ac6d2f644f737fc6f2864237e6f29c5582427285ea5bb3500df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,869 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 50,147$25,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,073.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 25,608$12,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,804 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 23,727$11,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,942.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 12,547$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.11 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 11,925$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,922.78 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 51c | 8,879$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.3 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 51c | 8,388$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.85 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 53c | 5,605$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.24 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 4,509$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 4,258$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 49c | 3,583$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.53 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 2,962$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.53 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 2,726$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 2,536$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.57 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Over | 49c | 2,082$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.63 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.71 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,892$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.93 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 1,802$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.74 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 41c | 1,500$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.97 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.9 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 50c | 1,330$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.86 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…e42cbacked Over | 58c | 850$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 847.44$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.25 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…97a9backed Under | 50c | 764.33$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.89 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Under | 42c | 719.09$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 51c | 705.88$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 49c | 612.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Under | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Under | 49c | 587.76$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Under | 57c | 575.6$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.78 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 49c | 515$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.65 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…fa9fbacked Under | 50c | 405$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 17c | 405$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…d27abacked Over | 51c | 405$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed Over | 50c | 400.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.04 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 37c | 357.68$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 28c | 357.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 36c | 302.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 289.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 69c | 280.43$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff61…e560backed Under | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 21c | 232.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 58c | 231.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 178.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 172.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Under | 15c | 169.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Under | 51c | 149.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 144.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 52c | 139.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 129.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 48c | 128.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 52c | 121.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 70c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 70c | 111.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 68c | 110.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 49c | 108.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 29c | 104.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 52c | 102.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 49c | 98.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 51c | 98.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 51c | 97.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 97.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 14c | 92.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 50c | 86.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 62c | 85.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Under | 51c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Over | 49c | 83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Over | 50c | 81.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 70c | 71.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 52c | 66.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 66c | 65.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…f754backed Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 50c | 59.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 66c | 57.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.