TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,476 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under45c50,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,499.9310450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over60c9,500$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7006468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c8,756$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,838.954,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Over56c5,016$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Over55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9504465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over34c2,663$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.911839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over54c2,380$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.23948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over55c2,364$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under14c1,991$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.4450249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over63c1,799$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.282166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under15c1,710$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.6490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over65c1,532$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over52c1,484$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.314342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over55c1,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.464250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over55c1,225$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.932951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over19c998.67$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8383640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over55c864.24$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.332133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b3…1bebbacked Over62c796.26$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c760$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.83847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over69c755$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.173262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32412954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Over61c597.57$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.091855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c549.91$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.391,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over79c537.2$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4261656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over37c534.32$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.597339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over55c509.09$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over36c454.64$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.673040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under55c365.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.932245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under15c346.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.92,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under16c338.75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Over54c310.66$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.922864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003850%19 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16216745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8b…e16abacked Over70c285.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over34c262.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over51c239.85$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over65c207.71$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.361546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over52c206.89$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2533949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11042158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under29c183.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4328847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over55c166.43$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9611354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over65c165.06$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2914850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c158.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7618842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over63c158.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over64c155.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over33c149.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2511820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7587…3afebacked Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3597…775fbacked Over55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over51c135.58$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over75c134$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.52560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe46b…b195backed Under15c132$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over55c120.91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.53046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over55c120.57$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.318155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Over52c119.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.18347%39 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over52c119$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.715435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over35c117.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.052740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x027b…5587backed Over56c113.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over57c110.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6322553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecaa…34d2backed Over54c110$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…4392backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over64c101.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1511855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under36c94.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.444542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c93.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over52c90.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5444324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under23c89.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.871533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf03…a2a4backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over55c76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.817651.7%91 W · 85 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d77…b7bebacked Under39c73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.532729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1382…a266backed Over28c71.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-27%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Over55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.54242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Over55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over44c69.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314065%26 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over57c66.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.038958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d0d…b02fbacked Under21c64.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.05850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Under17c64.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.28540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over34c60.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5510634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over75c54.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Over28c53.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Under37c53.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.672759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.