TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,485 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c14,348$8,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,762.874,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over41c9,907$4,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,102.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over40c6,581$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.352152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c4,708$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.0590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over40c3,746$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under60c2,600$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over43c1,999$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.68853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over40c1,771$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.430446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ca…161ebacked Under59c981.85$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under60c980.55$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under60c911.24$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.58550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over41c731$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7111820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under59c636.53$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.2850149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under69c525.14$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.146478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.93354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over29c333.85$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5411839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under60c314.79$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9211354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6923152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12931745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over42c283.33$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1194250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under57c249.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under60c246.41$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.358155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc57…ce1ebacked Over42c238.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over41c233.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.868732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under61c224$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.363727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25e2…dc8fbacked Under59c220$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over11c208.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.965349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over10c200.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0533949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36fd…8982backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over6c189.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under58c186.78$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4512954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under75c180.25$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.391,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1b…6cc0backed Under63c171.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over42c171$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8248934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4924344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under59c124.71$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1814342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…7f64backed Under67c120$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.331258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over42c119.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117651.7%91 W · 85 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Over41c92.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.223330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc194…f69fbacked Over44c88.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.841338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over43c86.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.265347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over42c81.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.373842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over44c79.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over41c72.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.91553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under57c63.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.659558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over34c63.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.637339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under60c62.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8312152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over42c61.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.763857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over41c57.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.753046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under59c55.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1220245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over43c54.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.410947.7%52 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…2519backed Under60c53.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under56c50.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.254334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b5f…5e78backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9511066.4%73 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Over42c47.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206731.3%21 W · 46 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under56c45.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9692254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2f…e46abacked Over42c45.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb26f…ebf7backed Over42c42.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…c761backed Over42c40.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc1…efa3backed Under59c40.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1610851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over43c34.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520947.4%99 W · 110 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2397…c215backed Over42c34.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under60c33.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44045%18 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe46b…b195backed Under59c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under60c30.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4430749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba3…833abacked Under59c29.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Under60c27.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c94…1f7dbacked Under59c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc0…0633backed Over42c26.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.17650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Under57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.322669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+35.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Over41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc050…2f67backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e3…8eacbacked Over42c24.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x684d…6354backed Under60c23.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Under60c21.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.613046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under58c19.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.111855.9%66 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.