South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c40a8c012766dffc87bfff047bf8184f4dc081fcc8e9de6c5a4748d290eb51f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,677$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 24c | 1,289$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.4 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 49c | 410.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 28c | 178.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 145.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked No | 78c | 113.12$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 74c | 100.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 89.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 21c | 85.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 51c | 46.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 55c | 45.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed No | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…28b6backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 53c | 26.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 24.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed No | 51c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 67c | 19.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 78c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.