South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccb8a6e909c7923f3185d3e6ce8deb5bc780ad9e4830dd704544b5aa7ec79bc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,108 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Under | 56c | 4,734$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 3,552$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 44c | 1,520$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 9c | 843.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 43c | 749.35$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.87 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 567.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 45c | 277.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 9c | 232.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 44c | 136.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed Over | 45c | 134.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 124.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 116.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 99.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 43c | 97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 43c | 92.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 81.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 48c | 68.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 58.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…8ae5backed Over | 44c | 54.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 44c | 36.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Under | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 34.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 44c | 31.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 31.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27d…0c33backed Over | 48c | 26.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…7180backed Under | 53c | 25.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 55c | 24.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…bf4bbacked Under | 53c | 23.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 48c | 22.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…c173backed Over | 48c | 21.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.