South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9715147a9fb565a39ed6a3e586103e401410edd7f2bd0e59d048a53ff587a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,938$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 2,079$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 1,489$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.24 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 703.83$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.07 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 67c | 302.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 68c | 265.8$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 55c | 233$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 62c | 209.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 206.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 203.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 40c | 187.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 29c | 132$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 52c | 130$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 59c | 113.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 51c | 113.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…42d4backed Under | 77c | 103.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…75f2backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 96.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 55c | 62.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 52.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 71c | 49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 60c | 40.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 37.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 66c | 37.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Under | 34c | 35.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 60c | 33.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 78c | 26.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 42c | 24.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 50c | 23.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed Under | 60c | 23.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 59c | 22.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…7be6backed Over | 57c | 20.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.