Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4e215e96c1ece9bef55b549de8726f7831fffce4a1b132dd83394c975a125c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Swiatek, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,017 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Swiatek | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Svitolina | 49c | 608.16$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.16 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Swiatek | 56c | 514.82$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Svitolina | 44c | 433.92$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Swiatek | 8c | 228.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Svitolina | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Swiatek | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Svitolina | 44c | 172.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…7ffbbacked Swiatek | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Svitolina | 49c | 96.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…43a1backed Swiatek | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Svitolina | 45c | 71.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…2b95backed Swiatek | 52c | 62.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Swiatek | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84be…e47fbacked Svitolina | 49c | 61.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Swiatek | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…d3d0backed Swiatek | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Svitolina | 46c | 25.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)this page
- BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga SwiatekElina Svitolina won
- Elina Svitolina vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs SwiatekSvitolina won
- Svitolina vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.