Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa932a7c76fc630e9849e87b430d8bdf1f4a418b416b281a304b2127f34bd9714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $648,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 50c | 109,611$54,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,805.36 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 72,855$36,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,274.76 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 59,702$29,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,168.5 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Over | 49c | 44,724$21,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,809.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.96 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 50c | 20,904$10,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,493.23 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 50c | 20,686$10,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,342.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 52c | 17,638$9,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,466.24 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Under | 51c | 14,706$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 50c | 10,001$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 7,595$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.51 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 5,037$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.61 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.94 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 3,800$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 43c | 3,469$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.36 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 49c | 3,453$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.16 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…836abacked Under | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 53c | 3,218$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.55 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 65c | 2,434$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 2,425$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.3 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Under | 5c | 1,600$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 14cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 49c | 1,437$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.23 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 53c | 1,323$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.81 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 1,256$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.24 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 53c | 1,147$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.17 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 1,086$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.81 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 29c | 994$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 52c | 963.4$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 882$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.36 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 873.91$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.09 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Over | 53c | 819.78$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 50c | 743.98$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 11c | 637.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 599.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 578.7$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.35 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…cc36backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 51c | 433.66$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.53 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 412$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 374.29$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.14 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 373.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…6213backed Over | 45c | 317.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 302.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.04 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 267.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.56 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 42c | 237.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 48c | 225$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…c863backed Under | 51c | 221.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 218$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Over | 46c | 217.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…0b78backed Over | 50c | 215.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Under | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +309.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 50c | 198.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…c26fbacked Over | 50c | 193.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Over | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…c88bbacked Under | 51c | 187.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 54c | 184$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 38c | 162.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Over | 17c | 162.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Under | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under | 53c | 156.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Under | 10c | 146.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 54c | 146$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 57c | 129.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…71d6backed Over | 51c | 124.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.