Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a5bacfaf696b11c9b1cb014c551694b5e0b45ebb827724ad7cce32a1158945d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VfB Stuttgartof VfB Stuttgart, VfL Wolfsburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 10,502$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.01 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…6185backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 52c | 9,687$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.43 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 52c | 8,000$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 5,089$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.51 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 4,150$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.2 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 3,947$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.08 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed VfL Wolfsburg | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 2,201$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.51 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 1,364$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.28 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 1,101$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.78 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 1,018$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.39 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed VfB Stuttgart | 53c | 825.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.85 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed VfB Stuttgart | 45c | 665.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.26 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 649.46$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.06 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed VfB Stuttgart | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed VfL Wolfsburg | 52c | 451.56$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.81 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed VfL Wolfsburg | 52c | 422.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 40c | 331.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed VfL Wolfsburg | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 274.69$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 264.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed VfL Wolfsburg | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed VfL Wolfsburg | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…cc01backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 222.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed VfB Stuttgart | 45c | 220.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed VfL Wolfsburg | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 193$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 160$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 140.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 139.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed VfL Wolfsburg | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 117.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 116.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 115.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed VfB Stuttgart | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…d479backed VfL Wolfsburg | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed VfB Stuttgart | 45c | 113$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked VfB Stuttgart | 45c | 108.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 107.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 105.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…6dc2backed VfB Stuttgart | 43c | 105$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed VfB Stuttgart | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed VfL Wolfsburg | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed VfL Wolfsburg | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 81.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 78.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 77.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1123…9e89backed VfL Wolfsburg | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 49.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 48.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed VfL Wolfsburg | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked VfB Stuttgart | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed VfL Wolfsburg | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b75…b42cbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 37.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b151backed VfL Wolfsburg | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…6708backed VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 37.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed VfL Wolfsburg | 55c | 36.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed VfB Stuttgart | 46c | 34.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…337cbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 33.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed VfL Wolfsburg | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked VfL Wolfsburg | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…dff6backed VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 31.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175d…608abacked VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed VfB Stuttgart | 46c | 29.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…7b32backed VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 28.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…942ebacked VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 25.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…b668backed VfB Stuttgart | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…f33bbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 24.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…11dabacked VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 24.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 23.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d7…f440backed VfL Wolfsburg | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 75c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)this page
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.