Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 NORD vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa5b887003a0c20b28918449647c906aa62e4f4337af73cd79e9faa47e10362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof G2 NORD, Berlin International Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Berlin International Gaming | 32c | 1,435$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.18 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked G2 NORD | 67c | 1,210$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.86 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Berlin International Gaming | 28c | 1,065$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.25 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 799.7$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.68 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed G2 NORD | 72c | 798.94$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked G2 NORD | 48c | 521.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.23 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Berlin International Gaming | 38c | 468.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 NORD | 36c | 410.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.51 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Berlin International Gaming | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked G2 NORD | 69c | 397.35$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Berlin International Gaming | 33c | 357.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Berlin International Gaming | 33c | 336.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed G2 NORD | 39c | 301.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Berlin International Gaming | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed G2 NORD | 67c | 259.38$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Berlin International Gaming | 65c | 246.31$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Berlin International Gaming | 33c | 229.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Berlin International Gaming | 34c | 207.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked G2 NORD | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Berlin International Gaming | 9c | 174.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 170.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…04b2backed G2 NORD | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Berlin International Gaming | 50c | 158.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked G2 NORD | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed G2 NORD | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Berlin International Gaming | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked G2 NORD | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed G2 NORD | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked G2 NORD | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Berlin International Gaming | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed G2 NORD | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed G2 NORD | 68c | 79.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Berlin International Gaming | 30c | 68.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed G2 NORD | 69c | 63.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked Berlin International Gaming | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Berlin International Gaming | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked G2 NORD | 69c | 46.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Berlin International Gaming | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed G2 NORD | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked G2 NORD | 42c | 37.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…8aefbacked Berlin International Gaming | 43c | 32.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed G2 NORD | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed G2 NORD | 58c | 30.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Berlin International Gaming | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked G2 NORD | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked G2 NORD | 62c | 28.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Berlin International Gaming | 38c | 28.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed Berlin International Gaming | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…9acbbacked Berlin International Gaming | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…400cbacked G2 NORD | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Berlin International Gaming (+1.5)Berlin International Gaming won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG - Game 4 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 2 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.