Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 NORD vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa79297155699b8cd87acaa34c522b1ba523598e01c0ae55c39b4c37b1e74fbb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof G2 NORD, Berlin International Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked G2 NORD | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Berlin International Gaming | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked G2 NORD | 58c | 211.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Berlin International Gaming | 39c | 208.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Berlin International Gaming | 42c | 180$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked G2 NORD | 64c | 140.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Berlin International Gaming | 35c | 100.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked G2 NORD | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a76bbacked Berlin International Gaming | 53c | 35.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Berlin International Gaming | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Berlin International Gaming (+1.5)Berlin International Gaming won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG - Game 4 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown PlayoffsG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.