Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x490392da16d20a7f7c0c82c7631003f74edb230dee8593124828db049c51a74a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, Galions Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Galions Sharks | 42c | 4,477$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Solary | 59c | 3,663$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.54 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Solary | 58c | 3,054$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.98 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Galions Sharks | 4c | 2,285$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Galions Sharks | 41c | 2,273$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.81 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Solary | 67c | 1,594$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Galions Sharks | 58c | 1,000$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.03 | 485 | 53.4%259 W · 226 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Solary | 64c | 625.84$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.84 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Galions Sharks | 41c | 485.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Solary | 60c | 476.16$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked Galions Sharks | 20c | 475.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Solary | 60c | 459.68$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Solary | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Galions Sharks | 42c | 395.44$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…705bbacked Solary | 56c | 368$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…1076backed Galions Sharks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Galions Sharks | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…9acbbacked Galions Sharks | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Galions Sharks | 32c | 195.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Solary | 48c | 185.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Solary | 56c | 175.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Solary | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Galions Sharks | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Galions Sharks | 38c | 138.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Galions Sharks | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 593 | 41.8%248 W · 345 L | -16.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Solary | 62c | 126.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…0e63backed Solary | 48c | 126.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Galions Sharks | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed Galions Sharks | 34c | 111.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galions Sharks | 42c | 104.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Galions Sharks | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847d…2505backed Solary | 70c | 92.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed Solary | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Solary | 70c | 61.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c02…ca9cbacked Solary | 62c | 61.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Galions Sharks | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Galions Sharks | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galions Sharks | 28c | 45.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked Galions Sharks | 26c | 40.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 134 | 67.2%90 W · 44 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa67a…af94backed Galions Sharks | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Solary | 43c | 34.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 800 | 73.3%586 W · 214 L | +45.1wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Solary | 70c | 30.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…32fcbacked Solary | 38c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Galions Sharks | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Solary | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Solary | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Galions Sharks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Solary | 67c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 2 WinnerGalions Sharks won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 3 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.