Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x524b11f84653d3e795101c2d9228e707f4872c6ecc2dede40dbdf7871b9089aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, Galions Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Solary | 55c | 4,135$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.18 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Solary | 63c | 3,742$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.87 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Galions Sharks | 45c | 2,386$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Galions Sharks | 5c | 2,360$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Galions Sharks | 45c | 2,270$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.15 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Galions Sharks | 23c | 1,468$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.14 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Galions Sharks | 29c | 1,430$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.21 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Galions Sharks | 37c | 1,361$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.59 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Galions Sharks | 55c | 1,233$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.88 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Galions Sharks | 32c | 1,000$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.75 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Solary | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…705bbacked Solary | 57c | 552.49$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.57 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Solary | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Galions Sharks | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Galions Sharks | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Galions Sharks | 49c | 279.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Galions Sharks | 12c | 225.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked Galions Sharks | 5c | 212.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Solary | 72c | 193.82$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Solary | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Solary | 56c | 161.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Galions Sharks | 41c | 122.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Galions Sharks | 55c | 116.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Solary | 54c | 107$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Galions Sharks | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…1329backed Galions Sharks | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…fc18backed Galions Sharks | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Galions Sharks | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Galions Sharks | 12c | 92.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Solary | 60c | 89.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Galions Sharks | 13c | 88.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Galions Sharks | 25c | 82.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Solary | 59c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Galions Sharks | 39c | 65.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Solary | 57c | 55.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Galions Sharks | 44c | 55.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galions Sharks | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Galions Sharks | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Galions Sharks | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Galions Sharks | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Galions Sharks | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Galions Sharks | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Solary | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Solary | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Solary | 79c | 18.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 2 WinnerGalions Sharks won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 4 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.