Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10640b9ac5ffa8e7395edba8bfdbed83fda85cdd3402ecb296443a30906952cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galions Sharksof Solary, Galions Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Solary | 1c | 16,723$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Galions Sharks | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Solary | 64c | 2,900$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.99 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Galions Sharks | 47c | 2,740$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.99 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Galions Sharks | 35c | 1,000$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Solary | 67c | 964.72$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.02 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Solary | 61c | 754.69$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.42 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Solary | 54c | 708.99$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.06 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Solary | 64c | 668.8$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.01 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Solary | 43c | 631.91$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.63 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Galions Sharks | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Solary | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Solary | 61c | 526$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.34 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Solary | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Galions Sharks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Galions Sharks | 41c | 440.07$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.82 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Solary | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Solary | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Solary | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Galions Sharks | 39c | 257.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.79 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Solary | 74c | 242.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Galions Sharks | 41c | 218.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Galions Sharks | 40c | 211.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Galions Sharks | 29c | 206.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Solary | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Solary | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Galions Sharks | 26c | 194.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.23 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Galions Sharks | 37c | 164.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Solary | 47c | 133$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Solary | 36c | 123.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Galions Sharks | 40c | 113$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Galions Sharks | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Galions Sharks | 42c | 106.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Solary | 55c | 103$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 1,923 | 35.9%690 W · 1,233 L | -98.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…fc18backed Solary | 77c | 101.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Solary | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Solary | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Solary | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Solary | 63c | 79.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked Solary | 57c | 79.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galions Sharks | 36c | 77.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Solary | 78c | 63.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Solary | 54c | 63.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Solary | 65c | 63.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Solary | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Galions Sharks | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Galions Sharks | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Galions Sharks | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked Galions Sharks | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 134 | 67.2%90 W · 44 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…32fcbacked Solary | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed Galions Sharks | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 228 | 67.5%154 W · 74 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed Galions Sharks | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847d…2505backed Galions Sharks | 53c | 36.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Galions Sharks | 54c | 26.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 3 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 4 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.