Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6f2153ae599194dd770644beccd4faa9b017fabe42a4b037031990284921a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, Galions Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf82…582ebacked Galions Sharks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…1278backed Solary | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Galions Sharks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Solary | 56c | 2,470$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.81 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Solary | 54c | 1,770$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.06 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Solary | 57c | 1,503$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.14 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Galions Sharks | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Solary | 50c | 917$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.5 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Solary | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Galions Sharks | 54c | 584.24$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.01 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Galions Sharks | 53c | 378$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Galions Sharks | 20c | 330.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…f702backed Galions Sharks | 46c | 327.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Solary | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Galions Sharks | 50c | 234.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galions Sharks | 32c | 192.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Solary | 45c | 182.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Galions Sharks | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Galions Sharks | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galions Sharks | 41c | 114.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Galions Sharks | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Solary | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Galions Sharks | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked Solary | 52c | 95.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Galions Sharks | 41c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Solary | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Galions Sharks | 50c | 59.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Solary | 56c | 57.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Solary | 57c | 54.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Galions Sharks | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Solary | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc9…7a80backed Solary | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Galions Sharks | 55c | 32.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Galions Sharks | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847d…2505backed Solary | 55c | 22.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Solary | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 2 WinnerGalions Sharks won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 3 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 4 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.