CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478fb3012bae20d4f01177412ffe53e973538798968f8793d3985d253eef2740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof Wildcard, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked FOKUS | 50c | 10,872$5,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,483.51 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FOKUS | 37c | 4,357$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.31 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Wildcard | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Wildcard | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked FOKUS | 23c | 1,180$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Wildcard | 40c | 1,028$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.8 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Wildcard | 63c | 977.21$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.34 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Wildcard | 40c | 902.08$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.25 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Wildcard | 68c | 849.96$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wildcard | 73c | 841$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOKUS | 43c | 643.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Wildcard | 80c | 634.95$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Wildcard | 41c | 601$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.59 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed FOKUS | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed FOKUS | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Wildcard | 40c | 498$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.8 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Wildcard | 40c | 400$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Wildcard | 40c | 351.79$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.06 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked FOKUS | 9c | 349.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FOKUS | 55c | 311.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.57 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Wildcard | 43c | 293.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.57 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Wildcard | 66c | 250$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Wildcard | 65c | 247.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Wildcard | 40c | 238$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed FOKUS | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Wildcard | 45c | 213$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Wildcard | 40c | 211.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…1f2ebacked Wildcard | 41c | 206.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Wildcard | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Wildcard | 57c | 189.61$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Wildcard | 70c | 173.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…88abbacked FOKUS | 9c | 167.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Wildcard | 70c | 158.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Wildcard | 41c | 133$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Wildcard | 40c | 120.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Wildcard | 78c | 119.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Wildcard | 40c | 119$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…9874backed Wildcard | 39c | 110.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed FOKUS | 13c | 106.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wildcard | 67c | 102.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed FOKUS | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Wildcard | 40c | 99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Wildcard | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Wildcard | 40c | 68.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked FOKUS | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -9.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed FOKUS | 56c | 66.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…7161backed Wildcard | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Wildcard | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FOKUS | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed FOKUS | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18e…e00ebacked Wildcard | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Wildcard | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Wildcard | 77c | 48.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked FOKUS | 40c | 35.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Wildcard | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed Wildcard | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Wildcard | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Wildcard | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Wildcard | 80c | 24.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked FOKUS | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerWildcard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.