South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da97feb5a24a72c083f42dd75f6bfaf2c01817f1fe63a93801de1abd5dc54a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 3,650$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.76 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 34c | 592.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 546.44$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.86 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 19c | 369.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 354.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 31c | 321.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 25c | 305.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 278$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed Yes | 38c | 253.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…da5ebacked No | 70c | 213.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Yes | 48c | 207.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 173.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 172.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…9874backed No | 70c | 159.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 19c | 152.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 150.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 140.38$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 140$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…7e19backed Yes | 36c | 137.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 22c | 133.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 15c | 129.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 119.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 109.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…72bfbacked Yes | 37c | 109$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 25c | 98.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 21c | 96.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 37c | 90.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 79.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 20c | 62.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 19c | 60.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 74c | 56.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 53.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 23c | 53.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 52.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 76c | 51.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 50.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 45.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 76c | 39.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 77c | 39.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 77c | 38.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 34.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 52c | 34.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 32.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked No | 68c | 31.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 31.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked No | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…6959backed No | 70c | 21.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked No | 68c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.