Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3144f91577a5635e25b4c85a9a4421f08fefdb91e79a19ef8d2dec729d98ddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HGE Esportsof HGE Esports, NOVO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NOVO Esports | 42c | 28,653$11,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,928 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed HGE Esports | 68c | 22,823$15,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,230.18 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed NOVO Esports | 52c | 12,311$6,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,419.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked NOVO Esports | 58c | 9,202$5,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,315.86 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed NOVO Esports | 43c | 4,535$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed HGE Esports | 35c | 4,208$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.81 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked NOVO Esports | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…4d14backed NOVO Esports | 16c | 2,256$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed HGE Esports | 43c | 2,199$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.56 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked HGE Esports | 43c | 2,099$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.23 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HGE Esports | 49c | 2,014$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.78 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e947backed HGE Esports | 40c | 2,014$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed HGE Esports | 64c | 1,933$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.65 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed NOVO Esports | 44c | 1,792$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HGE Esports | 40c | 1,717$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.61 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed NOVO Esports | 36c | 1,700$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.99 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed HGE Esports | 43c | 1,654$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.81 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed NOVO Esports | 32c | 1,590$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed HGE Esports | 68c | 1,465$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.8 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed HGE Esports | 40c | 1,255$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed NOVO Esports | 57c | 1,186$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed HGE Esports | 62c | 1,152$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.43 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed NOVO Esports | 52c | 1,079$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed HGE Esports | 40c | 1,020$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.01 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked HGE Esports | 45c | 993.75$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.53 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed HGE Esports | 38c | 950$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed HGE Esports | 44c | 903.96$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.75 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed HGE Esports | 39c | 811$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.71 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HGE Esports | 67c | 778.13$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.94 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed NOVO Esports | 33c | 698.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed HGE Esports | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed HGE Esports | 47c | 676$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked HGE Esports | 40c | 665.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.59 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HGE Esports | 66c | 559.67$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HGE Esports | 42c | 546.43$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.07 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed HGE Esports | 44c | 505$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed HGE Esports | 52c | 499.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.87 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…60d2backed HGE Esports | 39c | 423.8$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HGE Esports | 52c | 420$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed NOVO Esports | 62c | 402.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed HGE Esports | 41c | 356.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…506ebacked HGE Esports | 66c | 301.21$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked NOVO Esports | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed HGE Esports | 40c | 294.18$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.51 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed HGE Esports | 42c | 290.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HGE Esports | 66c | 287.37$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked NOVO Esports | 33c | 281.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed HGE Esports | 44c | 275$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked HGE Esports | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed HGE Esports | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed HGE Esports | 38c | 252.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed NOVO Esports | 64c | 243.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked HGE Esports | 40c | 242.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HGE Esports | 40c | 235.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed HGE Esports | 39c | 222.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…1f45backed HGE Esports | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed HGE Esports | 45c | 199.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed HGE Esports | 74c | 196.76$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed HGE Esports | 69c | 187.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked NOVO Esports | 40c | 179.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed HGE Esports | 43c | 177.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HGE Esports | 61c | 177$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b1eabacked HGE Esports | 72c | 166.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HGE Esports | 58c | 162.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed HGE Esports | 69c | 162$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NOVO Esports | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed HGE Esports | 65c | 154.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…b93abacked HGE Esports | 48c | 152$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked HGE Esports | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NOVO Esports | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HGE Esports | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HGE Esports | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…3e90backed HGE Esports | 47c | 120.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed HGE Esports | 54c | 120.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NOVO Esports | 38c | 113.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed HGE Esports | 42c | 111.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HGE Esports | 45c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…9678backed NOVO Esports | 48c | 103.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HGE Esports | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed HGE Esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked NOVO Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HGE Esports | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked NOVO Esports | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…a2b7backed HGE Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed HGE Esports | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed HGE Esports | 38c | 97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed NOVO Esports | 15c | 96.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked HGE Esports | 70c | 95.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed HGE Esports | 56c | 94.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed HGE Esports | 33c | 91.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f06…a799backed NOVO Esports | 45c | 88.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked HGE Esports | 63c | 79.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked HGE Esports | 37c | 77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed NOVO Esports | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…9257backed NOVO Esports | 63c | 71.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…9874backed HGE Esports | 70c | 70.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed HGE Esports | 64c | 70.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked HGE Esports | 67c | 67.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked HGE Esports | 32c | 67.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…e36cbacked HGE Esports | 49c | 65.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 1 WinnerHGE Esports won
- Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 2 WinnerNOVO Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.