Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bb149bb9333b1af201321092b185d37c69e6a136736f70cad93db79002d362b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NOVO Esportsof HGE Esports, NOVO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed NOVO Esports | 58c | 10,594$6,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed HGE Esports | 43c | 6,983$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.44 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed HGE Esports | 38c | 1,787$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.18 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed NOVO Esports | 59c | 1,762$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed HGE Esports | 44c | 1,713$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed NOVO Esports | 56c | 1,000$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed NOVO Esports | 51c | 999$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HGE Esports | 41c | 690.03$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.01 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed HGE Esports | 49c | 679.66$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.03 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked HGE Esports | 37c | 648$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.42 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…9a39backed HGE Esports | 31c | 615.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NOVO Esports | 58c | 520.72$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.28 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HGE Esports | 47c | 493.04$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.02 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed HGE Esports | 48c | 462$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed HGE Esports | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed HGE Esports | 36c | 398.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed HGE Esports | 37c | 292$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked HGE Esports | 50c | 258$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HGE Esports | 34c | 233$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed NOVO Esports | 52c | 217.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed HGE Esports | 50c | 174$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…935ebacked HGE Esports | 37c | 157$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HGE Esports | 32c | 152.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed HGE Esports | 55c | 142.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed NOVO Esports | 48c | 141.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked HGE Esports | 30c | 126$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HGE Esports | 46c | 103.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked HGE Esports | 40c | 102.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked HGE Esports | 50c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HGE Esports | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HGE Esports | 41c | 84.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed HGE Esports | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed HGE Esports | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…1cb0backed HGE Esports | 48c | 73.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HGE Esports | 28c | 71.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…ebfdbacked HGE Esports | 50c | 65.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HGE Esports | 39c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HGE Esports | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed HGE Esports | 46c | 43.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…aa1bbacked HGE Esports | 50c | 40.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed NOVO Esports | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 PlayoffsHGE Esports won
- Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 1 WinnerHGE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.