TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,290 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c27,186$8,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,927.332,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c23,518$7,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,035.2268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No67c15,913$10,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,251.17785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c15,846$4,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,752.4998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No70c14,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes32c6,335$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No70c5,459$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.811968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No71c5,191$3,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.321776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes33c5,178$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.1696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No70c4,656$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.871681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+117.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No68c4,152$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.316838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c2,898$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.8949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No63c2,856$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.552867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9b…b900backed No70c2,099$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.58366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.995064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes31c1,939$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.011827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No67c1,829$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No70c1,706$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.16977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+75.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No70c1,690$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.051850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked No66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.991478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes37c1,497$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.4534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No70c1,422$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.66683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c1,101$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.1793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No52c1,043$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.643154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No72c1,006$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes30c890$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2671833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes17c860$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.851145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes20c714.3$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.861747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+92%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c572.13$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No70c568.41$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.521883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.6wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+74.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fa…a497backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf085…8882backed No70c540.21$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e5…f012backed Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c3…20c8backed Yes29c432.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes46c413$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.015271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2283026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c394.61$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4446047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No45c389.33$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.331752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+62.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No70c379.01$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e0…48a4backed Yes29c369.81$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes9c350.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes29c345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.051833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes31c330$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.033920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…264fbacked Yes29c298.62$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes33c282$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.068940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes19c259.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3917538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes35c241.2$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2351139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes22c229.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes11c227.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes31c210.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.132045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39b…eb0dbacked No72c201.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes22c200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…0cacbacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes31c192.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.562536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe822…f89fbacked No70c189.54$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7174…9874backed No70c189.48$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed No67c180.03$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.411090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes32c180.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.593650%18 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes26c177.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.627837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No62c175.41$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes36c172.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.551520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9e…13d2backed No72c167.21$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes57c166.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes32c165.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e4…9133backed No72c163.38$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes31c161.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes31c161.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Yes31c161.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…c634backed Yes31c160.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.591442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes30c155.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0739354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d88…480cbacked No72c155.53$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes33c153.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Yes67c150.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes30c149.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes28c149$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.723228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Yes31c135.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.112540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…86f3backed Yes66c131.27$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b1…4f69backed Yes21c131.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes61c131.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes20c123.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7414347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8a…9806backed Yes63c119.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.222347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b0…7f68backed Yes19c116.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2250%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x139e…4f76backed No72c115.24$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4962…8d15backed No72c113.57$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No55c112$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9223345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.