CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x568eef9575938be23c162408712a947e3eea28a2ba68b6cc0a0774d0c8ac6389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ding Cutsof Ding Cuts, DXA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ding Cuts | 74c | 2,594$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed DXA Esports | 19c | 2,536$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.31 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed DXA Esports | 22c | 980.22$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.82 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked Ding Cuts | 68c | 810.5$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed DXA Esports | 28c | 664.16$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.39 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed DXA Esports | 27c | 499.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed DXA Esports | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed Ding Cuts | 74c | 449.16$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ding Cuts | 61c | 260.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked DXA Esports | 32c | 243.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked DXA Esports | 18c | 216.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed DXA Esports | 43c | 208.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DXA Esports | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked DXA Esports | 18c | 173.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Ding Cuts | 79c | 163.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ding Cuts | 77c | 162.89$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked DXA Esports | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…9874backed Ding Cuts | 58c | 127.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked DXA Esports | 34c | 109.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Ding Cuts | 68c | 102.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Ding Cuts | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed DXA Esports | 15c | 94.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed DXA Esports | 41c | 92.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ding Cuts | 75c | 69.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed Ding Cuts | 80c | 69.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked DXA Esports | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked DXA Esports | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ding Cuts | 67c | 54.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed DXA Esports | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be3…6f63backed Ding Cuts | 67c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Ding Cuts | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Ding Cuts | 60c | 39.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Ding Cuts | 78c | 38.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed Ding Cuts | 65c | 35.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed DXA Esports | 41c | 35.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…7559backed Ding Cuts | 74c | 33.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Ding Cuts | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Ding Cuts | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Ding Cuts | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed Ding Cuts | 58c | 22.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Ding Cuts | 74c | 17.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Ding Cuts | 69c | 16.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Ding Cuts | 68c | 16.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 WinnerDing Cuts won
- Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 2 WinnerDing Cuts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.