South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bd4411632194c95048eed38802d0206d58c07a1ab7e9d8b56b84aa1592ee1eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,869 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 1,308$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.59 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 559.8$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.12 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 38c | 325.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.88 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed No | 33c | 298$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 208.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 49c | 156.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 45c | 148$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 68c | 124$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Yes | 47c | 106.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 49c | 71.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 54.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 51c | 45.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 51c | 35.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f13…6a96backed No | 53c | 33.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed No | 53c | 33.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…9874backed No | 51c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…23a3backed No | 51c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…4aa4backed No | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 25.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…d535backed Yes | 51c | 25.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…5bc4backed Yes | 51c | 25.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…1ef3backed No | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…5ff6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 72c | 16.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)EC Vitória won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.