TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,632 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c4,530$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.748,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c1,962$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.492,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c1,717$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.055,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.923046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over49c1,177$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.863652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over23c1,167$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.691,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over31c1,039$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5512828.1%36 W · 92 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over29c1,024$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6424…3045backed Over48c858.75$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over31c735.16$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.981030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over49c691.54$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.856357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under46c602.23$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.092263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012645.2%57 W · 69 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Under51c481.28$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8319846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over49c468$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8b…e16abacked Over61c463.9$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c457.65$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1945253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under43c450$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4533745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c376$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9418742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce9…ced7backed Over46c350$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over34c283.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.752,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over43c281.51$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12049341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Over48c269.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.598021.3%17 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507973.4%58 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14813351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb27d…8696backed Over49c192$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under41c177$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.014955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2574…c8a5backed Over49c158$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c152.27$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8437851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5a…4fdabacked Over49c149$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over65c134.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.874944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over50c131.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.37450%37 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.251,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.252,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over50c110.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4927053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Under46c108.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Over47c105.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over47c103.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.864656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3783642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4939853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over77c98.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.818145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Over47c96.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.321833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under51c96.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.225259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc4…a2ffbacked Under53c95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.17055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over47c87$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.895339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over22c84.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194139%16 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9856…f62fbacked Under44c81.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.023,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…0332backed Over60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207032.9%23 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.757856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff23…2b05backed Under52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over46c71.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under77c70.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2972350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over47c69.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8711448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4774…1809backed Under52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under50c62.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.138829.5%26 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1943…4114backed Under53c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c59.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1750746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over52c58.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.337742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c57.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Under41c53.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.383253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over49c47.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.012544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bb…74fcbacked Over61c40.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Over49c40.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over49c40.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513335.3%47 W · 86 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa768…84c7backed Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under51c38.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4868…c8d1backed Under76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.891942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+64.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Over48c31.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d12…e3d1backed Under52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Under58c30.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.774755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f43…a50dbacked Under52c30.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Over70c27.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.962231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under62c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2649449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdc…b412backed Over49c26.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.254052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fe…5ddfbacked Under53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ad…18e7backed Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7845…7e70backed Under53c21.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7128…93fdbacked Under53c21.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under66c21.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.266056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under66c21.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.269162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.