South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a654f2801dd4a9ffa9b4cbd2b3911e0521a29b7f5c40f5e8764e0f7f1de549c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 985.92$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…a589backed Over | 61c | 743.66$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 74c | 337.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 26c | 328.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 45c | 312.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 224.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 200.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…0332backed Over | 61c | 177$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 73c | 124.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 96.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 31c | 71.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 64.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 58c | 54.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…64d6backed Under | 36c | 40.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 73c | 40.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 49c | 32.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 42c | 28.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 73c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5this page
- EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)EC Vitória won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.