TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes21c47,625$9,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,917.282817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c25,086$4,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,815.126,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No79c20,127$15,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,226.4513748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c18,648$14,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,164.242,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No80c8,923$7,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.644261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No79c6,732$5,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.7177336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes19c3,759$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.976462.5%40 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No79c3,620$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.021,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes27c3,056$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.1374644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes29c2,641$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.926229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes19c2,565$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0239555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes19c2,388$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.816753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes19c2,388$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes19c2,388$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.823556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes19c2,388$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.827552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes19c2,388$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.830057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No76c2,163$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.476550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42067042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes24c1,730$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c1,661$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.81,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes25c1,618$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.4440%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No74c1,369$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.996262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No79c1,200$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2525139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes19c1,194$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9516757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes19c1,194$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.99752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No68c1,177$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.9536462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes2c1,098$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9526319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes19c1,057$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8329250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c1,038$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes19c1,026$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.64856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No75c939.8$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.952356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c921.33$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.292,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes19c770.68$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4319244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0705…1175backed No73c767.33$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes19c580.35$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.27955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes19c556.21$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7720651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes19c500.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1410547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes19c491.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1611555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes4c488.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.916933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.211630.2%35 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes25c427.84$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.964734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…419bbacked Yes26c422.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.564544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.568831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No68c365.07$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4330666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c362.31$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.21,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes5c320.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9910233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c289.95$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7157150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes20c281.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.313327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes20c259.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.892321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes24c250.07$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes25c250.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713a…258dbacked Yes26c248.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.61225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+71.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0a…60f7backed Yes26c246.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c242$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked No76c217.77$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.264100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+70%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes25c209.39$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.352948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes25c206.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4680953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes15c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8815249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No75c199.94$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.986147.5%29 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Yes19c198.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.812360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes26c196.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.122055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed No75c196.02$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Yes25c195.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.858930.3%27 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x061d…b355backed Yes25c189.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.811030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes26c183.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.782462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1289…6f82backed Yes26c157.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.822437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes19c143.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes26c131.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2910554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2425…d39abacked Yes21c113.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.825932.2%19 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c111.55$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.578666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c23…261ebacked No75c110.95$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.74580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes26c110.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.672853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe574…68a7backed No74c99.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+120%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No75c99.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4922658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No74c99.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.994753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Yes26c99.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes25c98.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9411433.3%38 W · 76 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c95.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7959645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes26c95.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8525532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Yes19c94.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.932445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No79c93.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.720059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Yes26c91.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.89837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes26c91.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.895433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa81d…7447backed Yes26c91.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.881050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes26c90.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.442536%9 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No75c89.1$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.586966.7%46 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Yes22c88.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.062356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes26c80.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0215553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3b…7582backed Yes26c75.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631625%4 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Yes28c75.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.052119%4 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc67e…0e52backed No76c73.92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1150%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1111637.1%43 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.116339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffbb…7a04backed Yes26c70.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.211442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.