TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99a7…fc82backed Under41c37,000$15,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,829.8214248.6%69 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over59c11,776$6,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,939.021,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over44c5,689$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.841,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over59c5,634$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,324.151,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under54c4,915$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.1824551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over59c3,756$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.11,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over59c1,878$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.041,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over59c1,878$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.047045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over59c1,878$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.041,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over59c1,878$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.0434452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Over59c1,399$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.255052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over59c1,084$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.361,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Over47c1,040$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.9620443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c1,034$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.79,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under37c962.21$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.155,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over59c921.17$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.4967849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over59c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.739351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over59c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.712656.3%71 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Under58c639.78$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3811942.9%51 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over56c636.59$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.1933864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Under54c630.26$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c599.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3546,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over59c578.63$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.393542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over48c515.83$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.335448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over62c394.03$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.31,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Over49c387.65$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1636440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over59c330.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0841847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over59c330.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0843153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over62c262.42$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7819842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over37c239.45$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.012,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over59c234.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.171,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over59c230.88$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2232348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under44c181.55$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6711347.8%54 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over59c167.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.951,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5494648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over59c164.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.81,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Over60c163.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5810746.7%50 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Over59c161.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under63c142.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.624,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over59c125.83$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2435650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over13c121.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over60c116.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1928943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over59c115.73$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2850949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Over55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c98.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4548339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under44c96.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.121,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under44c96.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.123,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over59c94.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.624751.8%128 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over14c84.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.656,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under40c84.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6133547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…9715backed Over59c82.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.771050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7752449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7715552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7712750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under58c80.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.991,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under38c80.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7466749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over59c74.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.743,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over41c70.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over59c70.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3158649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over59c66.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0229450.7%149 W · 145 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Under42c56.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.831450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under37c52.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7526853.4%143 W · 125 L+1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2e…d2abbacked Over59c49.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2612548%60 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over59c49.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2631046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over59c48.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7715351.6%79 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over59c47.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.854639.1%18 W · 28 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Over47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.315045.3%68 W · 82 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c44.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Over59c44.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268764.4%56 W · 31 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Over59c41.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3830446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over59c41.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3937747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4533…e6bbbacked Over59c41.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.393941%16 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaced…e23abacked Over61c39.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under42c36.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.272653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over55c36.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.971,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over52c35.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0425452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84c…efd5backed Over59c34.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.373345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over74c34.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.393627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Over59c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.513743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over60c32.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5219248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over59c32.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1894549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under44c30.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1670154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Under42c30.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.523935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.15442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over59c29.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6721153.6%113 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over59c27.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3927252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c42…93bfbacked Over60c27.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7512761.4%78 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Over59c24.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.722729.6%8 W · 19 L-7.0wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-48.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over59c24.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.477950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over59c23.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8119157.6%110 W · 81 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Over59c19.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5135547.3%168 W · 187 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef7…6390backed Over58c19.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over60c18.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7713144.3%58 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.