Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd6ea03a0ccb71e182ab6d70c19ba4e0ea6579c52adc9e9df5137a26d41e9063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x791c…f146backed No | 0c | 10,784$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 2c | 4,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 7c | 1,052$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 10c | 979.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7013backed No | 1c | 694.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 43c | 610.33$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.58 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339e…c5fbbacked Yes | 75c | 417.27$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Yes | 79c | 395.4$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 71c | 394.03$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 10c | 326.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7e…3b66backed Yes | 66c | 316.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 11c | 277.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 48c | 239.21$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…ccdcbacked No | 60c | 237.47$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 58c | 210.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…016abacked Yes | 41c | 185.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 166 | 31.9%53 W · 113 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…2555backed No | 7c | 183.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…ed5bbacked No | 7c | 181.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…665ebacked No | 56c | 179.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 153.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…48a8backed Yes | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fc…5bd4backed Yes | 53c | 145.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 386 | 33.4%129 W · 257 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 140.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 42c | 112.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes | 39c | 110.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 105.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 44c | 104.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 56c | 100.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 11c | 100.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 58c | 97.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…d77bbacked Yes | 37c | 92.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…646ebacked No | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 85.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed No | 13c | 83.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 34c | 79.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…28a8backed Yes | 45c | 72.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…7bd7backed Yes | 77c | 72.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 71c | 70.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd12…7f29backed Yes | 42c | 64.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 154 | 37.7%58 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…3175backed Yes | 76c | 58.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…5452backed Yes | 49c | 57.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 56.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8162…1a48backed Yes | 44c | 54.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 49c | 54.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 47c | 53.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 44c | 53.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…b590backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7d…9e7abacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…14a7backed Yes | 38c | 49.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…36a1backed Yes | 70c | 49.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 45c | 48.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ca…2acabacked Yes | 39c | 46.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 89 | 22.5%20 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 67c | 44.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 57c | 41.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…b97abacked Yes | 54c | 39.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 175 | 36.6%64 W · 111 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 46c | 39.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…eed5backed Yes | 38c | 37.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…038abacked Yes | 48c | 35.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda8…e905backed No | 63c | 34.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 44c | 33.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…bc23backed No | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…6efcbacked Yes | 46c | 31.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 219 | 30.1%66 W · 153 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 35c | 30.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…a782backed Yes | 38c | 29.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 515 | 37.5%193 W · 322 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked No | 67c | 28.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 45c | 28.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 57c | 27.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…5e2cbacked No | 56c | 26.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 58c | 24.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 59c | 23.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe508…5885backed Yes | 49c | 23.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 23.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…8812backed No | 57c | 23.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2427…52a2backed No | 54c | 20.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Yes | 80c | 20.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…b1b1backed No | 56c | 20.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 68c | 15.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.