Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e24664f1a48ff27cf47a753b8a658bdf9716a3f7718320b754cca237c46b38e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x665c…307bbacked Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.93 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 2,759$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.07 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 22c | 2,440$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 14c | 2,015$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,847$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.3 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 1,213$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.31 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 78c | 705.13$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 632.25$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 562.4$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 78c | 547.7$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 305.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 78c | 276$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 77c | 267$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 210.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 78c | 210.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 78c | 210.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 210.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 210.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 78c | 210.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 197.84$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 78c | 191.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 12c | 155$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 135.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 77c | 133.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 77c | 133.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 129.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 77c | 129.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 77c | 129.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 78c | 91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 78c | 78.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 77.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 63.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked No | 76c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed No | 78c | 53.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x836b…5551backed Yes | 25c | 52.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 30.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…dd1cbacked No | 78c | 18.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 77c | 16.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.