TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No32c4,824$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.513,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes62c4,502$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.859649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c2,890$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.0277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes61c2,886$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.061,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No25c2,589$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.4247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes79c2,131$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.2114761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No9c1,598$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed No39c1,262$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No40c1,020$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39010243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes74c859.8$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7726346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No15c828.61$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3410045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes63c794.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.831369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No10c721.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No41c707.95$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0213942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes64c591.08$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9219073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19029370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes70c480.46$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes62c432.58$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.47074.3%52 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes78c398.07$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.748344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No39c377.88$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1699340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes79c331.86$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4231834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes63c319.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.211040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes64c318.87$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6241339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No19c310.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9720535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No33c300$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3839234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11420554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No31c261.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes58c254.33$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes60c249.81$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5868550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes63c190.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.483844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No39c180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.224351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No38c178$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6415051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes62c161.95$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.242445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9815…d785backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed No19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No39c153$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6712849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes62c152$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.769848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No36c149.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No38c142.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.342055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c130.92$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7523643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes72c130$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.344447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No39c117.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4719255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes61c111.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1919560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes60c107.94$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes75c106.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4110757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7515638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No38c92.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.15255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes69c87.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5737249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed No32c85.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes60c85.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.216358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes60c85.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1315458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes60c85.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8122263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes61c84.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4524859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.825934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No39c78.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3714151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae42…d956backed Yes75c66.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No37c65.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.411,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No38c63.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.226050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffd…e7c6backed No43c58.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No40c55.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.398041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No39c54.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.889452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes60c51.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.462646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed No33c48.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.394669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x697e…e944backed Yes63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c45.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes68c45.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.197031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5d…ef01backed No41c43.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes66c43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.627953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Yes61c40.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.945757.9%33 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.328465.5%55 W · 29 L+16.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.810754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Yes63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.688950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes60c39.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.695160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes63c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.063663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes60c36.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.679458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes61c36.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No39c35.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8712254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No39c35.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7112254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No37c33.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes69c33.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.515569.1%38 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No39c33.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1119056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes62c31.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1329460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes62c30.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.819250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No39c30.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.845250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.428721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.413053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.