Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Amelie Justine Hejtmanek vs Marie Mettraux
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x740a847fd6a094527949cebde868be9c76fc54de6a9fdb870dec01bdb00e44c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amelie Justine Hejtmanekof Amelie Justine Hejtmanek, Marie Mettraux
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marie Mettraux | 65c | 1,209$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.07 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 36c | 819.29$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.31 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 28c | 500.79$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.79 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marie Mettraux | 57c | 428.36$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Marie Mettraux | 72c | 365.17$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.57 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 37c | 322.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.42 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Marie Mettraux | 72c | 313.74$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.51 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 35c | 312$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marie Mettraux | 68c | 298.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 27c | 205.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.05 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 28c | 176.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Marie Mettraux | 31c | 145.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Marie Mettraux | 45c | 137$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 31c | 131.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 35c | 124.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 53c | 88.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Marie Mettraux | 55c | 85.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 31c | 64.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Marie Mettraux | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 34c | 51.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 28c | 44.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Marie Mettraux | 72c | 44.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | 28c | 40.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Marie Mettraux | 62c | 34.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Marie Mettraux | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Marie Mettraux | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.