Tennis · resolved market
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Anastasiia Sobolieva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c3161746a9399800223b9e7048e87f434b4b4fdbf3200208641331299d577f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xiyu Wangof Xiyu Wang, Anastasiia Sobolieva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 11c | 11,446$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.83 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 6c | 1,590$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Xiyu Wang | 78c | 1,499$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.49 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 22c | 1,127$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 22c | 917.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 6c | 714.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 31c | 496.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 17c | 479.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 7c | 473.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Xiyu Wang | 78c | 404.93$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 24c | 324.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 25c | 320.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…e6d9backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 6c | 285.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 25c | 264.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 21c | 257.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Xiyu Wang | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 26c | 255.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Xiyu Wang | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 392 | 60.5%237 W · 155 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 26c | 203.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 8c | 202.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 10c | 200.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Xiyu Wang | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 32c | 188.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,178 | 52.4%617 W · 561 L | +27.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 23c | 172.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 18c | 172.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Xiyu Wang | 77c | 163$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Xiyu Wang | 79c | 162.03$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 844 | 68.5%578 W · 266 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Xiyu Wang | 76c | 158.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 388 | 54.1%210 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 21c | 156.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Xiyu Wang | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 10c | 147.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Xiyu Wang | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…61b6backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 17c | 115.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Xiyu Wang | 65c | 113.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 377 | 44.8%169 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 23c | 107.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,540 | 49.2%758 W · 782 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Xiyu Wang | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 21c | 97.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 27c | 92.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 22c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Xiyu Wang | 77c | 74.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 406 | 61.3%249 W · 157 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Xiyu Wang | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 380 | 51.6%196 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Xiyu Wang | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 273 | 57.9%158 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Xiyu Wang | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 24c | 67.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 828 | 47.3%392 W · 436 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Xiyu Wang | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Xiyu Wang | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Xiyu Wang | 77c | 40.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…6531backed Anastasiia Sobolieva | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Xiyu Wang | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 418 | 63.9%267 W · 151 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Xiyu Wang | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Xiyu Wang | 78c | 37.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Xiyu Wang | 71c | 29.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 582 | 65.5%381 W · 201 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Xiyu Wang | 79c | 23.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Xiyu Wang | 71c | 16.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,061 | 57.4%609 W · 452 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Anastasiia Sobolievathis page
- Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Sobolieva (+1.5)Wang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.