Tennis · resolved market
ITF Samobor: Jozef Kovalik vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe59e4aad12b78e73fbaaa9079680ea1be543f05d68d066b7c89634cbe135c893
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dimitar Kuzmanovof Jozef Kovalik, Dimitar Kuzmanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 60c | 498.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.64 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Jozef Kovalik | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Jozef Kovalik | 37c | 391.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jozef Kovalik | 47c | 306.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Jozef Kovalik | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 59c | 287.65$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 54c | 172.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Jozef Kovalik | 38c | 102.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 54c | 92.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 54c | 81.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jozef Kovalik | 36c | 63.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 59c | 61.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Jozef Kovalik | 44c | 61.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jozef Kovalik | 39c | 52.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 65c | 41.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 66c | 35.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 52c | 30.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Jozef Kovalik | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 54c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Jozef Kovalik | 51c | 28.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Jozef Kovalik | 74c | 27.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 73c | 25.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Jozef Kovalik | 49c | 24.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 59c | 21.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Jozef Kovalik | 70c | 18.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 55c | 18.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.