Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Nick Hardt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x109c42990968456b9003fdd37328b2f8e9a5245f1e646ea73c38be5661c24faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nick Hardtof Guido Justo, Nick Hardt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Guido Justo | 38c | 24,759$9,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,520.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nick Hardt | 63c | 14,493$9,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.07 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Guido Justo | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nick Hardt | 66c | 6,530$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.07 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Nick Hardt | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nick Hardt | 67c | 2,943$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.06 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Guido Justo | 39c | 2,872$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.14 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Nick Hardt | 63c | 2,351$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.06 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nick Hardt | 57c | 2,252$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.18 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nick Hardt | 63c | 2,233$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.58 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guido Justo | 38c | 2,044$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.48 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Guido Justo | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 337 | 37.1%125 W · 212 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Guido Justo | 28c | 1,948$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.02 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nick Hardt | 76c | 1,712$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.46 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Guido Justo | 36c | 1,705$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.12 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Nick Hardt | 54c | 1,668$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.06 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Nick Hardt | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Guido Justo | 42c | 1,073$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.66 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Nick Hardt | 59c | 1,065$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.2 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Guido Justo | 49c | 1,035$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Nick Hardt | 51c | 1,006$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.91 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Guido Justo | 34c | 988.22$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.9 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Nick Hardt | 63c | 858.97$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.82 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Guido Justo | 26c | 839.28$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 521 | 33%172 W · 349 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Guido Justo | 39c | 808.07$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.62 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Guido Justo | 49c | 762.05$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Guido Justo | 38c | 734$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.92 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…0f71backed Guido Justo | 28c | 698.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Nick Hardt | 75c | 666.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Guido Justo | 38c | 653.29$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.25 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nick Hardt | 71c | 646.91$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…a572backed Nick Hardt | 80c | 596.74$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 199 | 77.4%154 W · 45 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Nick Hardt | 66c | 570.05$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.93 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Guido Justo | 45c | 539.31$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.87 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Nick Hardt | 58c | 515.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.35 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Guido Justo | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nick Hardt | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Guido Justo | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Guido Justo | 40c | 498.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Nick Hardt | 63c | 490.19$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Guido Justo | 49c | 474.09$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nick Hardt | 66c | 452.33$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.02 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Guido Justo | 27c | 444.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Nick Hardt | 69c | 443.35$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Nick Hardt | 53c | 437.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.74 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…8893backed Nick Hardt | 64c | 393.02$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Guido Justo | 41c | 327.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Nick Hardt | 53c | 317.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.38 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Guido Justo | 39c | 302.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Nick Hardt | 62c | 301$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Guido Justo | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Guido Justo | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Nick Hardt | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Nick Hardt | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Guido Justo | 23c | 296.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 290 | 48.3%140 W · 150 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Nick Hardt | 77c | 295.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Nick Hardt | 67c | 293.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…2b06backed Guido Justo | 45c | 291.17$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nick Hardt | 73c | 257.2$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Guido Justo | 47c | 254.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guido Justo | 40c | 252.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nick Hardt | 73c | 244.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Guido Justo | 6c | 224.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Guido Justo | 54c | 218.81$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 169 | 67.5%114 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Guido Justo | 39c | 216.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Nick Hardt | 58c | 184.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nick Hardt | 66c | 181.73$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Guido Justo | 28c | 170.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 511 | 42.7%218 W · 293 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Guido Justo | 37c | 167.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 1,673 | 53%887 W · 786 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nick Hardt | 75c | 166.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Nick Hardt | 58c | 145$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Guido Justo | 27c | 144.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Guido Justo | 28c | 137.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nick Hardt | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Nick Hardt | 60c | 119.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…4302backed Nick Hardt | 71c | 114.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Guido Justo | 35c | 112.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Guido Justo | 31c | 110.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Guido Justo | 18c | 109.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Guido Justo | 41c | 108.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…01d8backed Nick Hardt | 71c | 105.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Nick Hardt | 73c | 102.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Nick Hardt | 57c | 102.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Guido Justo | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Nick Hardt | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nick Hardt | 73c | 96.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Guido Justo | 30c | 95.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 310 | 31%96 W · 214 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Guido Justo | 45c | 91.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Nick Hardt | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…1ed3backed Nick Hardt | 54c | 87.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…e8babacked Nick Hardt | 54c | 87.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nick Hardt | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nick Hardt | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nick Hardt | 66c | 82.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Guido Justo | 34c | 81.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Guido Justo | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Nick Hardt | 52c | 78.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 306 | 49.7%152 W · 154 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Nick Hardt | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Guido Justo | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Guido Justo | 31c | 73.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Nick Hardtthis page
- Set Handicap: Hardt (-1.5) vs Justo (+1.5)Hardt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.