TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bucks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Bucks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets51c13,798$7,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,760.951,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets52c11,970$6,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,745.561,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks49c9,471$4,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,640.811,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks48c5,417$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.434,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Bucks49c4,575$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.9312257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Bucks48c2,624$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.4420843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Bucks48c2,407$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.467650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks47c2,068$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.0770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Bucks49c2,051$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.0422349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nets52c2,040$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.9746145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks47c1,916$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.522,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Nets53c1,848$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.6487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Bucks48c1,514$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.66058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Nets51c1,497$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.51,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks48c1,379$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Bucks48c1,325$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets52c1,287$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.6874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks48c1,237$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.212,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Nets52c1,057$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.220647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Bucks48c971.34$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.242832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Bucks47c949.8$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.4118444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Bucks47c929.47$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.8531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nets51c799.92$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.961,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks47c785.47$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Bucks48c613.94$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Bucks45c522$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.920537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Nets53c478.78$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Nets54c453.75$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Nets54c453.75$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Nets54c453.75$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks46c449.97$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.991,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Nets51c350.44$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks46c341.7$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Bucks49c316.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.124849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Bucks46c311.47$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets66c300.56$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bucks46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Nets52c291.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Bucks30c265.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5722140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Bucks46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Nets53c246.96$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7959255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks31c229.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Nets70c213.13$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.911,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Bucks48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8836248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Bucks49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9415055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Bucks49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9426755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nets51c167.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb9a…4d42backed Nets52c151.34$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.644953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Nets52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7235744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Nets52c145.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9318839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Bucks49c138.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8672250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Bucks47c119$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.932828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Nets53c118.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2639448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Nets52c115.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Bucks48c101.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8320240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Bucks48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Bucks49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.471030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Nets53c98.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1349852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Nets53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.096443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Nets53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0938453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Nets51c91.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.41,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bucks30c91.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Nets54c88.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks48c87.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.861,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Bucks48c79.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3922942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c54…476dbacked Nets52c78.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.833253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks46c73.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.783,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be6…738dbacked Bucks49c71.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Bucks49c71.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.927251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed Nets52c68.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.996541.5%27 W · 38 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ddc…3077backed Bucks49c60.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Bucks47c58.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4917250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb979…a2c0backed Bucks49c58.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd79…3635backed Bucks32c56.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.183151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks45c55.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.192,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d20…c495backed Nets51c55.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Nets54c55.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3123549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Nets53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.857350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Bucks48c53.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7123840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Bucks49c53.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.178744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Nets53c51.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4112857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Bucks49c49.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.246147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bfa…d6d5backed Nets51c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd08…007abacked Nets51c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab13…4751backed Nets51c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a9…14c1backed Bucks49c44.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…164cbacked Nets51c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c96…4fa0backed Nets51c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac34…320ebacked Bucks49c40.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9560%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b55…7f2cbacked Bucks48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.386762.7%42 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Bucks48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3834644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a69…f70bbacked Bucks49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Nets53c39.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6122454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Nets51c39.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.217450%37 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Nets52c38.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6514051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Bucks46c38.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4928643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Nets53c37.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9267248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f74…4adabacked Nets52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9310850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Nets53c36.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.069545.3%43 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Nets54c36.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6953453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.